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June 24: Predictions of the $50 000 H.O.R.S.E.

The big difference is we already start with high 'blinds', which is that if a player has a bad pass, he can easily lose everything in the first two hours.
The big difference is we already start with high 'blinds', which is that if a player has a bad pass, he can easily lose everything in the first two hours.

Starting chips: 100 000

Hold'em 600-1200
Omaha HL 600-1200
Razz 800-1600
Stud 800-1600
Stud H/L 800-1600

Hold'em 1000-2000
Omaha H/L 1000-2000
Razz 1200-2400
Stud 1200-2400
Stud H/L 1200-2400

Hold'em 1500-3000
Omaha H/L 1500-3000
Razz 1800-3600
Stud 1800-3600
Stud H/L 1800-3600

Hold'em 2000-4000
Omaha H/L 2000-4000
Razz 2500-5000
Stud 2500-5000
Stud H/L 2500-5000

Hold'em 3000-6000
Omaha H/L 3000-6000
Razz 4000-8000

All giving approximately 11 h 30 of play and I think that c is what we on the day 1, with d a break of 90 minutes to eat and breaks of 15 minutes every two hours.

End of day 1, the 100,000 starting chips will represent 12.5 big bets. Short, if a player n not improve its number of tokens in the 11.5 hours, it will be in a very bad position for the rest. If this s player devotes to be unlucky and loses half of his chips just before starting the period of Razz, it will have to maneuver around 6 bets.

This structure suits me, but if we compare to the other tournaments, I suspect well that several players will complain about its speed. After day 1, the structure will continue to climb at the same rate, but I think many will be surprised to see that unlike l last year, many more players will be eliminated on the first day.

S there were for example about 200 players at the HORSE, I would say that we are going to lose about one-third of players on the first day.

If you compare to the other Limit tournaments, you will be surprised to find that for a same period of time, the proportion of players eliminated early in these is much smaller that the horse. I believe that the structure of the HORSE is excellent, but as I l have already mentioned, I think that people will compare it to the first levels of blinds of the other Limit tournaments where the beginnings are very slow. The best example is the Stud H/L $ 3,000 beginning with 120 big bets, then qu horse, players start with 83.3 big bets.

Knowing that we would likely end the day 1 after 4 000 8 000, j Razz tried to determine the number of tokens that I should minimally have to be comfortable subsequent days and this number is rather high. For to feel me really comfortable, j would need over 30 bets, which means that j will need to win 140 000 day 1 to feel that I'm not in danger. C is a big order, but this is obviously not an impossible task.

The pressure will be present from the outset, beginning with the section to Hold 600-1 200 em. In short I raterai no level in this tournament!

It is about midnight now and I am both nervous and excited to begin. I feel that I'm "due" to have a good sequence in this HORSE and I remember very well well going into this one. I'm well rested, j well ate yesterday and today today, I feel that my batteries are fully charged and I'm ready to concentrate well played.

On this, I have a few emails that require my attention and then j have planned have a 'solid' 8 hours of sleep.

I also send some updates in writing to a friend of mine that it s will occupy in the general forum of www.fullcontactpoker.com. It will be not regular with the counting of tokens, which is at my table, as well as any interesting hand and/or a summary of everything that could have happened interesting d.
 
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